Covid Vaccine Awareness

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PLEASE, GET THE COVID-19 mRNA VACCINE 10.10.21             

A Covid-19 vaccine has been given to 5 Billion people.   380 million doses of mRNA (Moderna or Pfizer) have been given to Americans.  No drug has ever had this much study.  Most side effects occur within 6 weeks.   Reams of data have been collected all over the world for over a year by scientists and governments who do not play nice together.  The U.S., Israel, Iran, China, Taiwan, Russia ALL SAY THE SAME THING: “Get Vaccinated.”  Would all spread the same lies to their people?  Currently the US has a higher percentage of new cases than most countries, Florida the highest.  Worldwide there have been 200,000,000 cases with 4,000,000 deaths this is IMPORTANT TO GET RIGHT.

96% of practicing physicians and their family have been vaccinated.  Do you really believe all are dupes?  Physicians read primary scientific literature and understand the proper use of statistics.  They do not rely on grandstanding maverick “colleagues” on social media.

Has the government made mistakes?    Yes.   They have mishandled about every feature of the pandemic.  Both Trump and Biden were/are more interested in scoring political points than letting the scientific establishment and routine channels take care of the issues.  But that does not change the science, but science does change!   There is always new learning.  What is true today may not be true tomorrow.  That is why this piece is dated.   But, with so many people around the world doing simultaneous work consensus does build quickly.

WHY HASN’T THE FDA APPROVED THE VACCINE?   They just did (Pfizer).  They cut NO CORNERS in the clinical data (and even if they had, it has now been given to hundreds of millions of people).   But they are dang bureaucrats; they got to check all the boxes.  And once approved they lose control.  Data collection is no longer tightly managed.  It can be used anyway a physician chooses to.  Moderna wil be approved.

DOES IT CAUSE INFERTILITY?   No.   There is no reason to even theorize that it could, but it is too soon to notice if it had in humans.  And it has not done so in rats – which we are not.   Nor does it cause miscarriages.   But Covid-19 does both.   Pg women should be vaccinated.

DOES IT CAUSE CANCER?   No.  Again, no reason to even suspect it could, but much too soon to recognize if it had. The claim of one quack skin pathologist (NOT virologist, or immunologist) that he has seen a 10 – 20 fold increase in uterine cancer come through his lab is simply ridiculous.  Where are the surgeons taking out all these uteri?  Cancer takes YEARS to develop.

WILL IT ALTER MY DNA?   No. The mRNA vaccines (the ones HFM encourages) do not enter the nucleus of the cell where the DNA is.   They join hundreds of other fragments of natural mRNA made very day that make hundreds of proteins every day.   To make just one more –an incomplete portion of the viral spike protein is not a novel occurrence.  Your body responds as usual  to a new foreign protein by making antibodies to defend itself.   Can that process go awry?  Of course, but, exceedingly rare.

BUT ARE THERE SIDE EFFECTS?  Of course.  Common to all vaccines, you may feel “punky” for a day or two a few seriously “flu-like” (most have no symptoms). Rare reports of myocarditis -3.83 cases overall per 100,000 (15.07 for teenage boys), but 18 overall with Covid-19 illness!  The vast majority recover (latest stats).  With the very large numbers it would be expected that a few will have have died, or had heart attacks, or flunked an exam or won the lottery or any other  life event not caused, but merely preceded by a vaccine.

BUT THEY DON’T ALWAYS WORK.   Yup. Nothing does.  They protect from serious illness, hospitalization or death with effectiveness of 90-95%.  They are less protective from mere infection or mild illness – ­Which can be passed on to the unvaccinated.   There are several components of the body’s response:  antibody, CD4, CD8, Memory B cells.  It is the antibody titer that gives the immediate defense – which begins to fall around 7 - 8 months.   The need for a booster shot will not be unusual .  Delta is probably 4 x more infective than the earlier strains.  There will be other variants.   Herd immunity is dependent on infectivity.   We had a chance to reach the 60% necessary with the original Covid-19. The delta variant will likely require 84% - essentially unobtainable by voluntary efforts.  Thus, the growing movement for mask and vaccine mandates.  Seems simple:  get vaccinated and reduce the risk of even mild Covid-19 by about 8x.  Don’t, and take a 10x greater risk of hospitalization and 11x risk of death .  At this time 85% of those in the hospitals are from the unvaccinated.   Giant study 340,000 people with 43% wearing surgical or cloth masks , or no intervention (13% wore something).   11% reduction in Covid-19 positives with SURGICAL MASKS.  Cloth mask did not make significant difference (ours hold N95 filters).  What if 90% had worn surgical masks?

BUT IT’S MY BODY.  WE ARE AMERICANS.  WE FOUGHT A REVOLUTION.    Yes, we are.   Some of us at HFM are of a libertarian political persuasion but neither politics nor religion determine the science.   When the world was threatened by a flood, God provided through Noah, an ark.  Vaccines are our ark. Get on board.  George Washington variolated (1-2% risk of death) all of his troops against smallpox (25% risk).

BUT PROVINCETOWN PROVED VACCINES DON’T WORK.  No. Of the >1000 cases traced to that party weekend 74% were fully vaccinated.  BUT, only 5 of those were hospitalized and none died.   THAT is what success looks like!  Same for Israel, New Zealand and Iceland.
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HFM grieves the loss of a middle-aged mostly healthy patient who recently died after 4 weeks on vent.  It puzzles me.  We treat sometimes with quite dangerous drugs, carefully managed.   We seldom, but for this, have a patient say “no, I don’t trust you to have weighed the risks vs benefits for me--I’ll trust some stranger on the internet with exaggerated credentials that credible people do not take seriously.”

Yes, 50 mg elemental zinc and Vit D3 (2000 iu) daily may help reduce infection;  Ivermectin or Luvox, may be helpful for early symptoms;

BUT, NOTHING IS AS WELL STUDIED OR AS DEMONSTRATEDLY EFFECTIVE IN KEEPING YOU SAFE AS GETTING THE mRNA VACCINE!

New Study August 25, 2021 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMe2112543 Accessed 8.29.2021 New England Journal

Funded by private research foundation and Harvard University. NOT Industry. NOT government.

Safety of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Setting

The “excess” risk of the effect vs the “usual” risk unrelated to Covid-19 vaccine or the disease is shown.  The colors do not show well in black and white.  The FIRST one (left side of pair) is always the Vaccine risk.  The 2nd one of the pair (right side) is post Covid-19 illness.  Every event within 42 days of the first shot credited to the vaccine, provisionally, compared to the rate in natural illness, then both compared to the control population (neither vaccinated or ill with Covid-19).   The amount of “excess” over controls was noted for both vaccinated and ill with Covid-19).  Shingles was more common after vaccination and transient lymphadenopathy (“node” swelling – sort of expected).  All others were more common with the natural illness and in ALL CASES fairly rare – note rates are per 100,000. A LARGE study of 884,828 vaccinated; 173,106 Covid-19 Naturally Infected; 884,828 control groupA bar graph showing the number of people who have tested positive for covid-1 9.Figure 4. Absolute Excess Risk of Various Adverse Events after Vaccination or SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

Point estimates of the risk differences for selected adverse events are shown. Estimates were derived 42 days after vaccination or SARS-CoV-2 infection with the use of the Kaplan–Meier estimator. Risk differences are shown per 100,000 persons and rounded to the nearest integer. Negative differences (decreased risk) are represented as negative values on the y axis, and positive differences (increased risk) are represented as positive values on the y axis. The abbreviation mRNA denotes messenger RNA.

A  word about the Naturally Immune  (i.e. those with documented Covid-19 infections – only about 20% of those who believe they have had Covid-19 are found to have antibodies, presumably they were ill with another viral assailant).   Realistically, you may not  require medically (as opposed to the policy of your employer) a “booster.”    Yes, you CAN get Covid-19 (some have gotten it THREE times), and YES you can DIE from it the 2nd time, AND spread it with symptoms or not.    But, for the time being your protection is about equal  or better than  the vaccines.  We do not know when ether of those protections will truly need a booster.   We do know that after natural illness, getting a booster carries profoundly low risk and WILL boost your immediate immunity 5 – 10 fold !  It will reduce  your chance of  recurrent misery by at least 1/2.  Because it is only somewhat helpful in addition to documented illness (currently) does not make it, however, uniquely “dangerous” to you – the basis to seek exemption, so, no, HFM will not be granting on that basis.   You can and ought to get it.

 PLEASE - there are NOT Fetal cells in Covid 19 Vaccine